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Are Customer Health Scores Just Bad Science?

contrarian insights

Every SaaS company seems to have a “customer health score.” It usually lives in a slide deck, presented with great seriousness to the board. A tidy number, often in red, yellow, or green, meant to summarize the entire customer relationship. The problem? Most health scores are little more than astrological charts dressed up in SaaS clothing.

 

Why Are Health Scores Flawed?

These scores are typically homegrown blends of whatever metrics the team could grab: logins, support tickets, maybe NPS, and a sprinkle of contract data. Weighted in arbitrary ways, the result feels quantitative but isn’t statistically validated. No predictive testing. No proof that a “72” actually means a customer will renew. Just a number that looks official enough to get past the first slide of the presentation.

In the Customer AI Masterclass (Lesson 3.8: Accuracy), we show why predictive models require rigorous testing and validation—something most health scores lack.

 

Why Don’t Health Scores Correlate With Outcomes?

The flaw isn’t just arbitrariness. It’s that these scores rarely correlate with economic results. Companies proudly label a customer “green” while that same customer is already running an RFP for competitors. Meanwhile, some “red” accounts renew for years because switching costs are high. The disconnect makes health scores more superstition than science.

In the Customer AI Masterclass (Lesson 3.9: Attribution), leaders learn how to link variables to actual renewal, churn, and expansion outcomes, ensuring metrics align with financial reality.

 

How Does Customer AI Replace Health Scores?

Customer AI moves beyond pseudo-metrics:

The result is not a dashboard widget designed to comfort executives, but a system tested against real financial outcomes.

 

Why Do Health Scores Persist?

Customer health scores persist because they look simple and executives like simple. But simplification without accuracy is worse than useless—it’s misleading. Teams waste time chasing “red” accounts that aren’t at risk while ignoring “green” ones quietly slipping away.

In the Customer AI Masterclass, leaders learn to replace health scores with evidence-based models that withstand scrutiny, predict outcomes, and guide real action